@Article{InnocentiniCaetCarv:2014:PrOpUs,
author = "Innocentini, Valdir and Caetano, Ernesto and Carvalho, Jonas
Takeo",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and Institute
of Geography, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico and
Rede de Modelagem e Observa{\c{c}}{\~a}o Oceanogr{\'a}fica,
Centro de Hidrografia da Marinha, Niter{\'o}i, Brazil",
title = "A procedure for operational use of wave hindcasts to identify
landfall of heavy swell",
journal = "Weather and Forecasting",
year = "2014",
volume = "29",
number = "2",
pages = "349--365",
month = "Apr.",
keywords = "flood events, Wind effects, Coastal meteorology, Risk
assessment.",
abstract = "The wave pattern on the Brazilian coastline is composed of both
wind 17 waves and swell. The wave systems (WSs), extracted from
the spectra near 18 the coast produced by numerical wave models,
reveal the occasional pres19 ence of intense swells, with small
significant wave height (HS) and large 20 average period (Ta).
This kind of event has nearly no effect over deep wa21 ter, but
its landfall can be accompanied by inundation, mainly when coupled
22 with favourable tides and storm surge. Since these events are
not clearly evi23 dent in the bulk parameters, this study proposes
a methodology to i) identify 24 intense swells simulated by a
coarse grid resolution wave modelling system 25 (CWS), and to ii)
evaluate their importance. 26 In this methodology, monitoring
sites are defined along a 100-m iso27 bath contouring the
Brazilian coast, where the CWS hindcasts the spectra 28 for a
31-year period, from 1979-2009, obtained by theWAVEWATCH wave 29
model. The spectra are partitioned into WSs, which are used to
build cu30 mulative distribution tables (CDT) for each site. The
variable used in the 31 CDT is the flux of energy per unit length
perpendicular to the wave propa32 gation (PW), which contains in
its definition both HS and Ta. The direction 33 of propagation of
a WS is used to compute the components of PW parallel 34 and
perpendicular to the coast. From the CDT of the perpendicular
compo35 nent of PW, the percentile of an incomingWS can be found
and its intensity 36 ranked. 37 To illustrate the feasibility of
this proposal, the method is used to find the 2 38 50 most
powerful distantly-generated swells for two sites, one on the
north39 ern and another on the southern Brazilian coast. In
addition, the method is 40 applied in two case studies, both
accompanied by coastal flooding and ero41 sion: one represents a
very powerful WS arriving at the northern coast and 42 the another
a less energetic event occurring on the southeastern coast. The 43
analysis of bulk parameters fails to identify the second case as
potentially 44 destructive, while the proposed methodology clearly
gives some indication.",
doi = "10.1175/WAF-D-13-00077.1",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-13-00077.1",
issn = "0882-8156",
label = "self-archiving-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR",
language = "en",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}